🇨🇳China Has Changed Its Electric Vehicle System As of April 1, 2026!
15/04/2026
👉How Does This Transformation Change And Will Change Dealer Turnover?
How Will The Customer Be Affected By This Transformation? Do Dealer Service Structures Change?
📌Vehicle Sales Insights:
First of all, it is necessary to estimate vehicle sales for 2026 and 2027 so that the number of service visits and turnover can be estimated according to the vehicle park:
| 2024-2025 (Realized) | 2025-2026* (Prediction) | 2026- 2027** (Prediction) | |
| CHANGE IN THE TOTAL NUMBER OF VEHICLES SOLD | +11% | -5% | +14% |
| Change in the Number of Internal Combustion Vehicles Sold | +2% | -10% | +10% |
| Number of Electric Vehicles Sold Change | +81% | +30% | +30% |
*Based on 2026 and quarterly sales figures.
**Based on the annual sales figures trends for the last 10 years, as well as the increasing trends after the declining years.
That is; 2026: 1,052 thousand , 2027: 1,206 thousand sales are predicted.
📌Damage Frequency, Damage and Mechanical Amount Predictions:
Estimates of damage frequency, damage and mechanical amount of electric vehicles compared to internal combustion vehicles:
| 2026 | 2027 | |
| Damage Frequency | -%17* | -%25** |
| Damage Revenue | +%30* | +%30 |
| Mechanical Revenue | -%35* | -%35 |
* Source: According to the reports of the German Insurance Association (GDV) and Mitchell,
**Estimated with the prediction of technological developments.
📌Service Mechanical and Damage Visit Frequency Predictions:
| -3 YEARS | -2 YEARS | -1 YEAR | |
| SERVICE MECHANICAL FREQUENCY | |||
| Internal Combustion | 0,25 | 0,5 | 0,75 |
| Electric Vehicle | 0,7 | 0,8 | 0,85 |
| SERVICE DAMAGE FREQUENCY | |||
| Internal Combustion | 1,4% | 2,8% | 4,2% |
| Electric Vehicle | 1,2% | 2,3% | 3,1% |
📌TURNOVER CHANGES:
Turnover changes in the light of these predictions:
| 2026-2027 | 2027- 2028 | |
| TOTAL TURNOVER CHANGE* | +2,0% | +6,8% |
| MECHANICAL | +1,9% | +8,4% |
| DAMAGE | +2,5% | +2,7% |
*Independent of inflation, it is created only with vehicle sales figures, service visit frequencies and service visit turnovers. The model may vary for the brand.
⚠️Analysis of the Agency:
✅The trend of switching to electric vehicles in Turkey does not reduce dealer service revenues much in the near future! 📌
✅Turnover change;
➡️Although there is a 2% increase in 2027 compared to 2026, the increase in 2028 comes to around 7% compared to the previous year, which is around 9% increase compared to 2026.
➡️Although 2027 does not seem very bright, 2028 looks brighter. ✅This shows that it can be structurally managed by dealer organizations and there is no need to worry.
